Chapter 1639 [Fang Hong's prediction]

America's so-called allies are also looking for opportunities to sell off US debt. It seems that all countries are not short of money, and no one has heard of any country's assets collapsing.

In fact, it is very simple, because the East is the largest exporter, and the money earned from foreign trade each year has doubled from hundreds of billions of dollars in previous years to more than one trillion US dollars.

However, despite making so much money, foreign exchange reserves have not skyrocketed.

The reason is that the US dollars earned abroad are basically not brought back to the country, but they find ways to spend them abroad and buy assets as collateral. For example, the Qunxing Group cut 3 trillion last year, and Fang Hong directly decided to take out 1 trillion US dollars to buy crazily around the world, such as buying lithium mines at high prices, etc., so generous that there are no friends.

In addition to buying assets as collateral, they even directly discuss with everyone to use RMB for trade. I lend you US dollars, and then you pay me back RMB.

Therefore, the core assets of various countries are indirectly supported by the Eastern power, so the prices are of course supported, and the assets of various countries have not collapsed.

In the past, A-Mei was like a water pump, pumping water from all over the world every season, artificially creating droughts, and then acquiring core assets from countries around the world at low prices.

But now that Dongda has not only disposed of the green paper dollars in its hands, but also helped countries to overcome difficulties, A-Mei was determined to create a drought artificially, but Dongda did not let A-Mei succeed. Everyone was not very uncomfortable, so the only one who was uncomfortable was definitely A-Mei.

Obviously, A-Mei himself was also clear about this, so he broke the defense and asked Dongda why the data of your two departments did not match? How could there be such an outrageous gap of 3 trillion US dollars?

About an hour later, Fang Hong received a message from Luo Qingan, and then he temporarily participated in a high-level video conference. The participants included the heads of several major financial institutions such as Yangxing.

Originally, there would be no such meeting during the New Year, but A-Mei gave people the feeling that there was something going on, so this temporary meeting was held to discuss it. It involved major issues such as finance and macroeconomics, and Fang Hong would basically be invited to participate in the discussion.

But at this moment, after everyone had spoken, Fang Hong said directly: "I personally think that the era of low interest rates may be over, and the old magnesium will most likely enter a rate hike cycle this year!"

A participant was slightly surprised and said: "So soon?"

You know, last year, the aluminum magnesium started unlimited quantitative easing, and the profit was directly reduced to zero. It's only been a year, and it's going to raise interest rates?

Fang Hong smiled and said: "There is no trick. If he doesn't raise interest rates, global capital will flow to our side. Now they have few cards to play. The interest rate hike is one of them. Through short-term violent interest rate hikes, the economies of various countries are blown up as much as possible to reap the harvest."

After a while, Fang Hong added: "From the perspective of the old magnesium, now is definitely not a suitable interest rate hike cycle, but he can't wait for the old magnesium, so he can only be forced to raise interest rates in advance."

The participants present also nodded.

Fang Hong thought about the memory information of the previous life. The magnesium fed entered the violent interest rate hike phase in March 2022, and raised interest rates 11 times in just two years.

As for the current situation, from the perspective of Amei Lika, the difficulties and crises they are facing are much more serious than those in Fang Hong's previous life.

In other words, the smoother Dongda is now, the more things will go wrong for Amei.

Fang Hong estimated that Amei could not wait until next year to raise interest rates, and many things have accelerated. The Federal Reserve is likely to announce that it will enter a rate hike cycle during the first quarter of this year, and it is not ruled out that Da Mao and Er Mao will also fight in advance.

Because the effect of Amei's simple interest rate hike will not be too obvious, and now is the time to take strong medicine. It is obvious that raising interest rates requires a combination of punches. Fang Hong felt that Amei Lika would most likely cooperate with the interest rate hike to create hot spots and turmoil around the world, so the answer obviously points to the fight between Da Mao and Er Mao.

Only in this way can the capital of various countries, especially European capital, flee to North America to seek capital for safe haven.

In the Asia-Pacific region, Amei is absolutely afraid to play with fire. At most, it will make a small fight and pretend, but it dare not do it for real, otherwise it would not wait until now.

The meat in Latin America and Africa is too small, so only by harvesting European geese or geese can Argentina be full. Therefore, once it is determined to raise interest rates, Argentina will definitely provoke a goose-wu rebellion.

After the video conference, the result of the discussion was that if Argentina wanted to raise interest rates, our side would not follow suit, and if necessary, it would lower interest rates or even devalue the RMB.

In short, do a good job of expectation management in advance, and this temporary meeting itself is doing expectation management.

…

As time goes by, the Spring Festival holiday is over.

Time came to Thursday, February 18, and the A-share market ushered in the first trading day of the Year of the Ox after the Spring Festival.

During the Spring Festival holiday, a series of heavyweight good news came out. In the morning, the SGX market opened, and the SGX 50 Index directly opened sharply higher with a record high, and the call auction opened at 11851.01 points, +2.08%.

The Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets that opened subsequently also opened sharply higher. The Shanghai Composite Index opened +1.81% higher, directly above the 3,700 point mark, and the Shenzhen Component Index opened +1.97% higher, directly above the 16,000 point mark. Both opened at new highs.

However, the three major A-share indexes opened high and fell in the morning, especially the two neighboring cities, which opened at 9:30. The Shenzhen Component Index plunged and turned green one hour later, and once fell by more than 1.5 percentage points.

At this moment, stockholders have not realized that the highest intraday price of the two neighboring cities today is the historical cosmic top.

It opened high and fell low in the morning, which was obviously too high. In addition, the overly consistent emotions caused the extremely strong market pattern to weaken.

At around 12 o'clock, the Xinzheng 50 Index also fluctuated and fell all the way to the zero axis, not only filling the gap of such a large gap in today's high opening, but also slightly green for a while during the intraday.

However, after consolidating and fluctuating at the zero axis for about half an hour, the Xinzheng 50 Index began to move up abnormally, gradually fluctuating higher with large volume, and further strengthened in the afternoon. Although the two neighboring cities followed suit, it was obviously unable to do what they wanted.

At 14:47 in the late trading, the Xinzheng 50 Index increased by 2 percentage points and broke through the high point of the morning.

As of the close, the SGX 50 Index closed up +2.18% at 11862.32 points, the closing price was the highest price of the day, and the turnover of the SGX market also increased significantly to 2032.6 billion, an increase of 371.6 billion compared with the previous trading day.

The SGX 50 Index has gone through four consecutive positive lines, and today's positive line is a "T" shape with an ultra-long lower shadow.

The next day, Friday, February 19, the SGX 50 Index closed with a positive line again, and the volume rose to a new high and went through five consecutive positive lines, standing above the 12,000-point mark, and the highest intraday high reached 12057.88 points.

The SGX 50 Index closed up +1.18% after the market, at 12002.23 points. The volume of the SGX market was further enlarged throughout the day, and the transaction scale reached 2105.8 billion.

After the weekend, on Monday, February 22, the SGX 50 Index opened slightly higher, but today it opened higher and fell, with a large volume decline, and the 12,000-point mark was lost after only one day.

After the market, the SGX 50 Index closed down -1.78% at 11,788.40 points, but today's trading volume broke the record for the largest single-day trading volume in history, with the SGX market blasting out a huge volume of 2.32 trillion.

…