Chapter 760 [Everyone strives for their own interests according to their abilities]
Two days later, Quantitative Capital headquarters.
Chen Yu handed a paper document to his accompanying assistant and ordered: "Smash this document..."
Just when his assistant was about to pick it up, Chen Yu took it back and got up and said, "Forget it, I'll go in person."
At this moment, he happened to be throwing documents into a nearby shredding machine, and then destroying them. All of this was done for Wei Qiwei, because he was also present at the moment.
The reason for being there was that Chen Yu was going to hold a meeting, and Wei Qiwei was also going to attend the meeting, and it "just happened" that he and Chen Yu were going to enter the meeting room together for the meeting.
This meeting is not important. In fact, the real purpose of the meeting is to let Wei Qiwei see the scene of shredding documents at this moment.
After seeing the documents being shredded, Chen Yu went straight to the meeting room. Wei Qiwei glanced at the paper shredding machine from the corner of his eye, and followed him as if nothing had happened.
The working principle of the file shredder is mainly to cut waste paper and other materials into small pieces or thin strips through a high-speed rotating cutter, and finally achieve the purpose of complete shredding, but it is not completely irreversible.
...
That night, Wei Qiwei obtained the document that Chen Yu had smashed.
When recycling garbage, it was shipped out of the company and taken directly from the garbage dump. Wei Qiwei privately arranged a group of professionals to do this work, day and night from a pile of scrap files to restore them one by one. , and found the document that Chen Yu personally smashed.
In the following days, Wei Qiwei's people were restoring the documents, and Qunxing Capital and Quantitative Capital also began to make arrangements.
Short the crude oil futures market, short gold, short silver, short natural gas...
But the trick for the opponent is to go long, that is, to use Wei Qiwei and Lu Chengye, two insiders, to send opposite and wrong information to Wall Street. The "reliable inside information" that Wall Street will get at that time is that Qunxing Capital is going long. .
In fact, Fang Hong had asked Qunxing Capital to continue shorting these varieties a year earlier, just waiting for these varieties to fall. The cycle has been shortened from one to two years to about one month, or even shorter to complete the harvest.
Not only can it save a lot of time and cost, but also reap more profits at the same time. After the time is saved, you can reap another round. It is a win-win situation where you want to win twice.
In the past few days, Fang Hong is also paying close attention to international oil prices.
With the advantage of foresight, Fang Hong knows that June is the turning point of international oil prices. The current international crude oil price is around 110 US dollars. After this month, crude oil prices will enter a continuous downward trend.
If nothing else, Brent crude oil prices will fall below $100 in September, while WTI crude oil will be around $90.
Two months later, that is, in November, the head of the Ministry of Energy of Sate will go to Venezuela to participate in the international climate change policy meeting, but the more important purpose is to use this miracle to negotiate with him on the reduction of crude oil holdings.
In Fang Hong’s previous life, Venezuela at this time point agreed to cut production, but the attitudes of other non-OPEC oil-producing countries are still uncertain.
Mexico, for example, disagrees. The country can no longer cut production at this time on the grounds that it has just emerged from recession and is attracting foreign investment to develop the energy industry.
Not surprisingly, in late November this year, the OPEC meeting will be held in Vienna as usual, and members of non-OPEC oil-producing countries will also be present, including Big Goose and Norway.
But the attitude of the big goose is indeed cold and frosty, just like the cold weather in Vienna in November, not to reduce production is the final answer given by the big goose.
After that, all parties turned their attention to the big dog, hoping that the former head of Sat Aramco, the current head of the Sat Energy Department, and the most respected person in the global energy market can take the lead in reducing production again.
However, this year is different.
Sat also refused to cut production, and the massive production reduction meeting ended in a collapse of talks.
This year, the international crude oil market has entered a prisoner's dilemma situation of complete disorderly competition and beggar-thy-neighbor.
Over the years, Saat's image has been the "regulator" of international crude oil prices and the defender of international crude oil market order.
But starting from the second half of this year, this price regulator and order maintainer has also become the biggest player in the law of the jungle. In the next two years or so, the international crude oil price will drop from $110 to around $26.
On the bright side, it is generally interpreted by the outside world that Sate is helping North America to cooperate in the fight against the big goose. It has been several years since the civil war broke out in Syria, and the big goose is supporting it.
There are three purposes for cracking down on oil prices in North America. One is that cracking down on oil prices can severely damage the economy of the big goose. After all, energy is the core pillar industry of the big goose, and the life of the big goose will not be easy when the oil price plummets.
The second is that North America is undergoing a "shale oil and gas" revolution. There is only so much demand in the global energy market, and there will be no sudden surge. If North America wants a piece of the pie, it can only grab meat from other people's bowls.
The third is that North America also wants to suppress inflation. Excessive oil prices will also put great pressure on North America. For the old Americans, oil prices fluctuating around US$70 are the most comfortable position. If the oil price is lower than US$50, shale oil and gas exploration I can't continue playing, because the cost of shale oil extraction is only 50 US dollars. Below this price, the more you extract, the more you will benefit.
Laomei naturally has her own little ninety-nine, but this little ninety-nine can’t fool the big dogs and big geese. They are not stupid. If your shale oil and gas in North America rises, you will definitely grab meat from me. The global market demand It's that big, and there are still variables in the new energy revolution.
Once the new energy revolution breaks out, it will be a bleak curtain call for all oil-producing countries.
The economic structure of Saat is highly dependent on oil, and apart from oil extraction, there are almost no other industries. With the gradual depletion of oil reserves, Gou Dahu is making a difficult choice between developing other industries and insisting on selling oil.
Developing other industries requires money, and money can only be obtained from selling oil.
Therefore, Shate Gou Dahu and Big Goose don’t want Laomei’s shale oil and gas to grab their meat.
The big dog in Shater did promise North America to suppress the oil price together, but the big dog wants to bring the oil price below $50, and the big goose is also choosing the lesser of two evils. It's just sad for a while, just get over it.
It’s better to share between two people than three people. Before two people divided two people, two people would be full, but if another one is added, someone will be hungry. If the shale oil and gas in North America are revived, the sad days will not be just a matter of time, but It's been a long time.
Therefore, the big goose is also willing to endure the sharp drop in oil prices and kill the shale oil and gas in North America. Besides, after this period of time, it is enough to reduce production and raise prices.
As long as the development of shale oil and gas in North America is interrupted, it is basically impossible to restore it later. This kind of heavy industry cannot be restored immediately after being dismantled. If it is really that simple, the production line of F-22 fighter jets in North America has been restored long ago.
Moreover, the willingness of capital to enter the market will also be fearful, fearing that if they enter the market again, Big Goose and Sate will increase their holdings again to suppress oil prices and another explosion will happen, then they can explode directly on the spot.
The risk is too great, and capital is unwilling to intervene.
It can be seen that on the surface, the increase in production by the big dogs is to help North America to suppress oil prices and make the big geese feel uncomfortable. In fact, the big dogs and the big geese have cooperated tacitly to hit the oil price to the floor and kill the shale oil and gas in North America.
The sharp drop in oil prices must be a good thing for the big eastern country, after all, it is the world's largest oil importer.
The cheaper the imported resources, the price difference is profit.
In today's complex international struggles, Fang Hong is letting Qunxing Capital to fish in troubled waters in the financial market. From the perspective of Qunxing Capital's interests, this chaotic situation is of great benefit to it.
After all, the bigger the wind and waves, the more expensive the fish.
There is no such thing as a good person or a bad person here, and everyone strives for their own interests based on their own abilities.
... (end of this chapter)
