Vol 5 Chapter 1108: Small goal

As a person in charge of an investment company who has gone through a lot of exciting moments, and has seen a lot of money and made a lot of money, Li Ruiyuan is so excited because the analysis of his previous boss has never let him He was disappointed.

And this time, the area that the boss analyzes is futures.

This is a moment of heaven and moment of **** business, because a transaction, you may lose a lot, and the loss will bring down a well-known and strong company, such as the famous Nick Leessen to bring down Baring Bank.

Similarly, you may also earn a lot more than you can imagine, such as Jesse Livermore who successfully predicted the stock market crashes of 1907 and 1929.

This is a genius who is hailed as the most outstanding stock investor in history. He only used his own funds and did not use financial derivatives, and through short selling, he eventually received $100 million in his pocket.

The US$100 million in that era is not the US$100 million now. Let’s put it this way, the fiscal revenue of the US government that year was only US$4.2 billion.

Li Ruiyuan has naturally read his book, "Memoirs of a Stock Maker", which is known as one of the two must-read masterpieces on Wall Street. He did not have such a dream back then. One day, he will be able to surpass Livermore. Now, he I saw the hope of realizing this dream.

Because crude oil futures are the king of commodity trading in the world.

How big is the trading volume? In 2004, adding up the crude oil futures of the NYSE and London Brent uoko Singapore, the average daily trading volume was not less than 100,000 lots (the exact data is indeed not available).

One standard lot is 1,000 barrels of crude oil, that is, the average daily crude oil futures traded on the three major exchanges is no less than 100 million barrels.

China’s net crude oil imports last year were 1.515 a ton, which is about 7 barrels a ton, which means that the net import of crude oil last year was about 1 billion barrels.

No one counts the amount of crude oil futures transactions, but it can be roughly compared. Last year, the domestic funds spent on imported crude oil were US$43.15 billion. From this, it is possible to estimate how big the world crude oil futures market is—— That is a super market of trillions of dollars.

And every time the boss said this affirmatively before, it meant that he would arrange a specific transaction, just like the previous few times the process was fast and accurate, and the result was a stock transaction that made a lot of money.

Since the boss is so confident, how much profit will the company ultimately make this time? In US dollars, 9 digits are absolutely certain. Is it possible to break through the 10 digits and be the 10 digits at the beginning of the big number? As for the 11-digit figure, Li Ruiyuan felt that for now, don't have such a dream.

Soros successfully shorted the British pound that year, forcing the Bank of England to go bankrupt. The income of his Quantum Fund was only more than 1 billion US dollars.

Because this news is too important to him, Li Ruiyuan couldn't help but ask again, "Really?"

"Yes," Feng Yiping glanced at him, unquestionably affirmative.

Regarding the international oil price, he probably remembered two years, 2005 and 2008.

In 2008, international oil prices soared to their highest point, and in August 2005, international oil prices also soared to a benchmark.

The reason why he even remembered August was that it actually came from a KFC product, New Orleans grilled wings, and he learned about a city in the United States, New Orleans.

In August of this year, there will be a Hurricane Katrina hitting New Orleans.

The hurricane was the most devastating hurricane in the history of the United States, causing a large number of casualties and property casualties. Because of the ineffective reconstruction after the disaster, a large number of residents chose to leave this sad place. This once prosperous city and large communities were reduced to rubble. After Detroit, the second city with a sharp decline in urban population.

In fact, those Chinese people who have unrealistic affection for the American people should have an intuitive understanding of the "good" American people after CCTV reported the news about the hurricane.

Although, like the Western media, CCTV also likes to report some bad news about the United States, no matter how big or small it is, the one about New Orleans is still relatively objective.

What impressed Feng Yiping was that in the disaster that the United States will usher in this year, the scenes that appeared in our history books during the catastrophe period appeared.

The Bush administration was already ineffective in rescue, but the people in the disaster area not only followed the US's usual self-centered habit, fighting on their own. In the chaotic situation, there were also a large number of thugs taking advantage of the fire.

Florida originally had a high gun-holding rate. A large number of unscrupulous rioters took advantage of the chaos to gather in the crowd to make trouble. They openly burned, looted, raped, and fought with the police in front of the guards and police.

Under the tremendous pressure of public security and death, New Orleans in the United States, like some cities in Mexico controlled by drug dealers, has a large number of policemen choosing to resign.

The Bush administration first transferred hundreds of veterans who had returned from the Iraqi battlefield and had seen blood on the battlefield to provide local support. They found it was not useful. Later, they sent more than 5,000 soldiers to the disaster-stricken areas in the Gulf of Mexico. "In fact, it means repression, or suppression....

Nothing like this happened before 49 years later, when some greater natural disasters occurred in our country.

Another direct consequence of this disaster is that it greatly affected the United States' own oil production capacity.

In the Gulf of Mexico attacked by Katrina, 30% of the US crude oil production capacity and 24% of the oil refining capacity were concentrated. The hurricane caused fires in many oil refineries, and a large number of oil fields and refineries had to be closed.

Not only Katrina, this year, it seems that there will be many major events that will directly affect crude oil production. India seems to have a major oil field on fire, Iran has an oil field explosion, and the Middle East seems to be the death of the king of Saudi Arabia...

Coupled with the turbulent Iraq because of the United States, crude oil production has fallen sharply....

In short, Feng Yiping remembers fairly clearly that at the end of August, international oil prices will soar to a high level.

It is not too clear how high it is, it seems to be about twice as high as the beginning of the year.

"How do I prepare?" Li Ruiyuan asked immediately.

"I still need to do some analysis," Feng Yiping said. "What you have to do now is to temporarily stop buying other crude oil futures and collect funds as much as possible. Well, I will add some more for you."

"No problem, but is the company already facing greater financial pressure?" Li Ruiyuan said.

The acquisition of Marvel Pictures was another big deal worth more than $2 billion.

From last year to the present, first acquired Netflix, and later launched Facebook and YouTube. Although the development of these two projects is not generally gratifying, after all, they have not yet begun to make profits, and they are still burning money. The capital reserves, mainly in US dollars overseas, should not be enough to support this acquisition.

"Because of the previous rumors on the domestic Internet, I think it is not easy for Chinese banks to provide us with financial support this time," he said.

As the person in charge of an investment company, he still has this sensitivity.

Those rumors all say that the $2 billion loan to Jiasheng approved by ICBC is tricky. Although Jiasheng has repaid the loan early, but the rumors have not completely disappeared, even those domestic ones have been listed on the international market. In fact, state-owned banks that have not fully implemented market-oriented operations should find it difficult to approve large dollar loans to Jiasheng.

"I don't know if they will approve it, and I don't need to know, because this time, I have no plans to raise funds from a Chinese bank," Feng Yiping said.

The bank's reaction this time made him a little unhappy, probably to avoid suspicion. They didn't stand up to speak, and Feng Yiping felt that it was impossible to make them feel painful and heartache for a while.

That is, for banks, how easy is it to do a billion-dollar loan business? How can there be so many opportunities?

"Then how are you going to raise funds? Is it equity pledge?" Li Ruiyuan immediately thought of a feasible way.

"Yes, I have submitted an application to the Google board of directors to pledge 3% of Google shares in my personal name. At the same time, I am also in contact with several banks on the issue of NEXTDOOR equity pledge."

"That's too easy," Li Ruiyuan said immediately.

That's really easy.

Google’s market value has now exceeded 70 billion U.S. dollars ~ www.wuxiaspot.com ~ pledged a portion of the 10% publicly disclosed under its own name, and can easily raise 2 billion.

I believe that Google’s board of directors also understands its strength and will not be unable to recover the pledged equity. Therefore, it is not a problem for the board of directors to pass its own proposal.

As for why he also put NEXTDOOR in, that is because he wanted to take the opportunity to see how serious the financial industry in the United States is, and what the market value of the main body of his business in the United States is.

In general, as far as Feng Yiping is concerned, as long as he wants to raise funds, not to mention the amount of US$10 billion, many banks in the United States will find him.

2 billion, that is really sprinkling water.

"Mr. Li, I still have another idea. From now on, you can also find some objects. I think it's time to acquire a suitable company in the United States and let us have our own trading organization in the United States."

"Really?" Li Ruiyuan was overjoyed again, "Okay, I will prepare right away."

He is only happy for the expansion of the field he is responsible for. In fact, he certainly doesn't know what Feng Yiping is raising this matter for.

Feng Yiping is aiming at 2008, specifically, the US real estate market in 2008.

Of course it is not real estate speculation, but shorting the US real estate market.

It can be expected that such an operation will have amazing profits. For smooth delivery and the investigations by the US government, it is best to trade in the United States.

As for this year’s crude oil futures, Feng Yiping actually has a plan now. Although he does not specifically remember when the oil price spiked to the highest point at the end of August, he felt that every day from August 24 to August 30. Most of the contracts cannot be wrong.

As for income, he has a small goal of 100 million dollars a day.