Vol 2 Chapter 286: The words are not amazing

However, Feng Yiping answered this question without pressure.

He only discovered now that Jin Ling is also a very gossip in front of his father. He has said so many things about him. What he worries most is Director Jin's next question, "What do you think of marriage?"

Then he is a cup of a tea table, full of tragedies.

"Uncle, you are the director of the Planning Commission. You should know better than me the speed of house price increase in the past two years, and I think this is far from over.

my country has more people and less land. This is a basic plan. Since the reform and opening up to the present, cities, especially large cities in developed areas, have developed rapidly. Compared with 20 years ago, it can be said to have turned upside down. Perfect and developed public services, such as education, medical care, etc., have made many people find ways to settle in cities.

A large part of them are fresh graduates, whose hometown is in the countryside or in small cities. After graduation, they did not intend to go back to their hometown. Parents certainly did not agree with them to go back. They worked so hard and finally gave up a college student. If you go back to the countryside or small county towns, your parents will be furious. For the sake of your children, you might spend your life savings to help them set up a nest in a big city.

In addition, some people born in the 70s who have not caught up with the distribution of houses should get married and start a family now, so they must buy a house.

Those born in the 50s and 60s who have been allocated welfare houses now have older children. The original small houses are not enough to live in, so they have to change to larger houses.

Adding these things together, the rigid demand is great, and the government is also happy to see housing prices go up, so that the income from land sales will be high. Therefore, the housing prices will surely double like a runaway horse. "

"There is some truth, but the doubling of the increase is a bit alarmist," Director Jin said with a frown.

"According to my expectation. This is by no means alarmist, it is very likely to happen. The money to buy a house now, by then. Maybe not even a down payment." Feng Yiping said with certainty, this is vast. How could he be wrong about the experience and lessons of the post-80s blood.

"Take the provincial capital as an example. Now in a few districts, you can still buy houses below 1,500. After ten years, 7500 is almost the same. As for the capital, the average price of houses I buy now is less than 5,000. Years later, in the current lot, it is estimated that 50,000 can't be bought." Feng Yiping couldn't stop mentioning this.

"Okay, just think so for the time being," Director Jin stopped him by raising his hand. "Then what do you think the government can do in it?"

To add to the flames, Feng Yiping almost slipped out, "In fact, we have ready-made learning objects. Every year, many cadres go to Singapore to study and Hong Kong has returned. We also understand some of their practices.

In these two places, land is more tight, but housing prices are not sky-high, because they have built relatively reasonable low-rent housing and affordable housing.

So far. In our country, the government is absent in this area. Many local governments are eager to sell the more expensive the better. In this way, fiscal revenue is high. "

"Low-rent housing, affordable housing," Director Jin tapped on the armrest of the sofa. "Bring my notebook," he said, pointing to a notebook with a pen on the desk.

Watching Director Jin write these two words in the notebook, Feng Yiping didn't think what it could change. Even the director of the Central Planning Commission may not be very useful after listening to it. If it is told to the dean of their college, it may be somewhat effective.

"Uncle, please persuade sister Jin, buying a house now is really a very good investment."

"Hehe, what I said is useless, but I will mention it to her more," Director Jin said with a smile, "Apart from the possible problems you mentioned, do you still have confidence in our country's continued rapid growth?"

"Yes, this is actually a case to follow. According to the laws of other countries and regions that developed first, such as South Korea, it has continued to grow since 61. For 40 years, China’s treasure island area has experienced high growth. Starting in 50 years and ending in 1997, it lasted for 48 years. Our country, counting from 80 years, has only 20 years now. I think it will continue for at least 10 years. By then, the total GDP should surpass Japan and leapfrog to Japan. Second in the world." He doesn't remember the specific value, but he remembers the year of catching up with Japan.

If it weren’t for Feng Yiping’s views in the magazine that looked incredible at the time, but later were completely fulfilled, Director Jin would probably sneer when he heard this. Of course, the country would have a vision for the development of the next ten years. I am also very confident, but who is sure now that it will surpass Japan and become the second in the world? If you grow, don’t others grow?

You must know that the total GDP of our country last year was less than one trillion U.S. dollars, while Japan, which ranked second, was already more than four trillion. The gap is not generally large.

However, Director Jin did not entangle this issue with him. He was more interested in another data in Feng Yiping's words, "Why can other countries and regions maintain rapid growth for more than 40 years, and you think we can only have 30 for many years?"

I don't know the reason, but I just know, "This is just my personal opinion and it is not accurate. But I think there are many factors that restrict our country's sustained and rapid development.

For example, whether it is South Korea or the Treasure Island area, their rapid development is also accompanied by urbanization, and urbanization is also an important growth point for economic growth. They enter the city alone, follow up with household registration and follow up with housing. , Social security followed up, and public services followed up.

However, in view of the high housing prices in the future, it is good that 1% of the people who are entering the city, the main force of the factories, the migrant workers, can buy a house in large and medium-sized cities, and most of them can only go to the city when they are young. When they are old, they still return to their hometown in the countryside. This urbanization is interrupted.

In addition, given the intensity of family planning, there will be a large labor gap in the future. If the labor gap is large, the labor cost will be high.

As the population decreases, domestic demand will also decrease. With the deepening of globalization, high growth rates cannot be guaranteed and will even lead to weak global economic growth."

This view is even more sensational, "Do you mean our basic national policy of adhering to family planning...?" Director Jin did not finish.

"This is definitely right, but with the development of society, corresponding adjustments should be made." As for Feng Yiping's meeting before his rebirth, he had already adopted the policy that double-single families could have two children. "When implementing family planning , Are all measured by the concept of an agricultural society, how much the population grows, how much rations need to be eaten, the growth is too much, the society cannot afford it.

But now in an industrial society, the conditions are different, and as a whole, with the improvement of education level, with the increase in the cost of raising children monetization, and with the increase of population mobility, everyone’s willingness to bear children is increasing. Lower, I personally think there is still a need to adjust,"

…………

Although Feng Yiping knows that it should be useless to say this to Director Jin, but it is definitely useless to hold it in his heart. Now I have the opportunity to talk more, and I will publish some articles systematically in the magazine in the future. It is best to make a little change and be born again. He feels that he has this obligation.

For Director Jin, these thoughts and opinions of Feng Yiping are completely different from those of the steady experts in the think tanks of the government. At first glance, they feel quite irrational and completely utterly silly. The reasons are somewhat reasonable.

From the perspective of Feng Yiping, he has a wide range of knowledge and solid basic skills. Moreover, Feng Yiping's vision seems to be broader and more long-term than his senior cadre.

He didn't know that after years of internet influence, there were so many people who were better than Feng Yiping.

So when I answered this question, I talked until ten o'clock without knowing it, and Feng Yiping drank four cups of tea.

"Xiao Ling is right. You are a very thoughtful and insightful child. These views of yours today have inspired me a lot. When you come to the provincial capital, come and see me when you have time."

The two of them were eating supper in the restaurant at this time. It was nothing golden and expensive. It was just egg noodles. Director Jin himself was a small bowl, and Feng Yiping was a large bowl with two double yolk eggs lying on it.

"Uncle Kim, you know, at our age, we always think things too simple and too ideal. Don't laugh at what I said today." There was something too absolute. Feng Yiping must be humble now. Humility is not what he wants to leave an impression of madness.

"Not to mention right or wrong, it's very rare if you can think of this," Director Jin said with a smile.

When he went out, his treatment finally improved. Director Jin personally sent him to the gate, "I will come when I am free in the future, as my own home."

Not long after getting in the car, Jin Ling called, "My dad said you performed well tonight, UU reading www.uukanshu.com has the potential to be in politics,"

"Don't scare me, I know that I am not that piece of material, besides, I still want to live a life freely," He just wants to get rich, how could he be willing to be an official? No matter how good people are, they all have a grandson, he doesn't have that hobby.

It seemed that an appointment had been made. Just as Jin Ling's phone was hung up, Huang Jingping called again, "How are things going? When will I be back? I miss you so much!"

"So far, it looks pretty good. I plan to come back tomorrow."

"By the way, did you go to see Zhang Yan?" Huang Jingping asked suddenly.

"No," to be honest, Feng Yiping is a little scared to see Zhang Yan now.

"Since I'm back, let's meet, really," Huang Jingping said sincerely.

Feng Yiping parked the car on the side of the road. Is this a meeting or not? (To be continued.)

PS: Ps: Feng Yiping is very worried. It's the last day of the month. There are only so many tickets, so there is no face to see Zhang Yan!