Chapter 126: A layman's intuition
Ever since crossing over, Ye Qiu has always had an indelible sense of crisis in his heart.
That is the butterfly effect!
Sometimes he would suddenly feel very scared, afraid that everything he knew about the next few years would become garbage, and the players he was familiar with would become useless one by one, and the original genius would be wasted for various reasons.
This sense of crisis made him work hard, because he always believed that the reason for this sense of crisis was that his own strength was not strong enough. Only with strong enough strength and coaching ability, he could overcome this sense of crisis.
It has been two years since he crossed over, and he has become more and more integrated into this new world, and he gradually discovered many things.
The so-called butterfly effect is not so terrible. Many things will be the same as they should be, and many players will be successful as they should be, because in this world, many things are destined.
Just like Ibrahimovic, he insisted on doing physical confrontation and flexibility training every day, and kept doing basic movement training for half an hour every day. These are the reasons why he has rapidly improved his strength in the past year. With his talent and talent, plus his hard work, how can he not succeed?
The same reason applies to a group of players such as Robben, Van der Vaart, Sneijder, etc. They are now full of desire for success, and they have excellent talents, are willing to work hard for it, and have strong discipline. Naturally, the possibility of success is very high.
It is precisely because Ye Qiu knew very well that the butterfly effect was not that terrible, so he dared to invest all his wealth in the stock market before and let Eliza operate the Standard \u0026 Poor's. He saw that the butterfly effect he brought could not cross the Atlantic.
Just kidding, he has never been to the United States in his life, and he doesn't know what America looks like. If the butterfly effect can still float over, it would be unbelievable.
And the facts once again proved that he was right this time.
On September 11, Tuesday, New York time in the morning, the 911 incident occurred.
Not long after, Ye Qiu, who was in Amsterdam, finished his lunch break, got up and sat in the office watching the news. When he saw this breaking news, he felt relieved because he knew that he had escaped again this time.
As he said, many things are destined.
Whether he, Ye Qiu, is there or not, this ** is going to launch the 911 incident.
After reading this report, Ye Qiu called Eliza as soon as possible.
"A terrorist attack occurred in New York, USA. The New York Stock Exchange has just announced that today's stock market trading will be suspended. The specific resumption time is to be determined!" As soon as the call was connected, Eliza told Ye Qiu her latest news.
Ye Qiu was mentally prepared for this. The World Trade Center in New York was attacked by terrorists, and the closure of the market was expected.
"What is the current situation?" Ye Qiu asked with concern.
"In August and early September, the S\u0026P fell below 1100 points, but yesterday, Monday, the 10th, the S\u0026P had a big improvement, and even almost rushed back above 1100 points, and finally closed at 1096 points. Most people are very optimistic that the S\u0026P will return to above 1100."
When Eliza said this, she was a little bit unbelievable, "But this terrorist attack happened, I guess the US stock market is going to plummet, and it may fall very badly!"
Almost everyone with a little analytical mind can come to such a conclusion, because this is the most serious and painful terrorist attack in the history of the United States.
During World War II, Japan attacked Pearl Harbor by surprise. At that time, Pearl Harbor was in Honolulu, which was far away from the United States and isolated in the Pacific Ocean. At that time, it was the outbreak of war, but now it is different. Now it is a peaceful era, and it is a surprise attack on New York, the financial center of the United States. This will cause a huge psychological shock to investors all over the world.
One of the important reasons why the United States has been able to rise rapidly in the past few hundred years is that there are no powerful opponents around it. The United States, located in North America, does not need to worry about being attacked from the outside world. This has also become a kind of strong confidence in it for investors all over the world.
But now, this indestructible confidence will be completely declared collapsed with the occurrence of the 911 incident. Moreover, after becoming the world's policeman, the United States has made many enemies. Who knows where it will attack tomorrow if it attacks the World Trade Center today? Where will it attack the day after tomorrow? This unpredictable psychological shadow is bound to hang over the United States for a long time.
Eliza on the other end of the phone made the inference that the US stock market plummeted, which came from this.
The stock market, or finance, can never get rid of the influence of politics.
"To be honest, why did you always swear that the Standard \u0026 Poor's would plummet?" Eliza suddenly thought of what Ye Qiu had said before. Is it really just a coincidence?
Ye Qiu laughed, "Didn't you say I have inside information? The terrorists told me!"
The more he talked nonsense, the less Eliza believed him, "I'd be a fool to believe you!"
"I'm optimistic that the US Standard \u0026 Poor's will fall. Look, didn't it fall in August?" Ye Qiu asked back.
Before Eliza could answer, Ye Qiu said again, "The reason why I am optimistic about the long-term decline is because I have an intuition that the U.S. stock market has risen too fast. Just imagine, since the mid-1990s, Internet technology stocks have soared. At that time, the U.S. stock market was like building a building in the air, rising several times, just like riding a rocket!”
"After the Internet technology stock bubble burst in 2000, I thought I would at least take a break for a while, because we Chinese people have a saying that is right, illness comes like a mountain, and illness goes like a thread. The same is true for the stock market. You need to first Lay a foundation, solidify the foundation, and then slowly rise, but you will find that the speed of its rise can almost catch up with the speed of its fall! "
"You mean the foundation is unstable?" Eliza somewhat understood Ye Qiu's judgment.
"Yes, the foundation is not stable, he will have problems sooner or later, and the faster it rises, the more painful the fall will be. So when the rise hovered around 1200-1300 points, I felt that it was almost time, and not only So, I even dare to conclude that if this matter is not handled well, there will continue to be problems in the future!”
In order to persuade Eliza, Ye Qiu had already begun to prepare such words, because he knew very well that Eliza would definitely be surprised by his judgment, and he wanted to use a reason to convince this terrifyingly smart woman. The best way to put it is intuition!
Because human intuition is the hardest to explain!
"Listening to what you said, I think most of the investors in the world should hang themselves. Their intuition is not as accurate as your layman's intuition!" Eliza obviously believed what he said.
The basis for these judgments listed by Ye Qiu in this reason may seem like a layman's, but in fact it is the same as the stock market. As early as 2000, when the Internet technology stock bubble burst, there were already some economics Everyone has raised such concerns, but a group of Wall Streeters who are accustomed to making quick money don't pay attention to them at all.
"It's not that they don't have this awareness, it's that they are too eager for quick success!" Ye Qiu said with a smile.
Some decisions may be very foolish in the short term, but when you magnify them to a certain extent, you will find that they will be beneficial to the future, just like Emperor Yang of the Sui Dynasty opened the Beijing-Hangzhou Grand Canal, the Sui Dynasty At the time of its demise, everyone said he was wrong, and very wrong. But without the Beijing-Hangzhou Grand Canal, would there have been the prosperous age of the Tang Dynasty?
The same principle applies to the Qin Dynasty. Qin Shihuang’s great actions created the Han Dynasty in the future. Can I be wrong?
Let's not talk about it from afar, but to put it more closely, Ye Qiu has invested so much in the Ajax youth training camp, improving the scouting system, and improving the software and hardware facilities of the youth training camp. In the short term, it is a loss. We are throwing money, but in two or three years, the whole system will start to operate well, and Ajax will continue to be provided with talent reserves in the future. So is it a loss or a gain?
It’s not that people don’t understand many truths, but they just don’t have the will to do them.
"Then what do you think now?" Eliza asked with concern.
Ye Qiu thought for a while, "I guess there won't be a big plunge in a short period of time, and there may even be a period of increase, because everyone expected it, and those who don't want to see the U.S. stock market plummet People can also see it, but the overall trend must be downward, so we must be prepared for a long-term battle.”
If he remembers correctly, it seems that it was in 2002 that the US Standard \u0026 Poor's fell to its lowest point in more than ten years.
"Okay, I'll listen to you!" Eliza no longer doubted his intuition. Instead, she felt that this guy's intuition was really accurate. At least, his several judgments as a layman were very accurate. .
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The New York Stock Exchange did not resume trading until September 17, the first Monday after the September 11th incident. However, it plummeted on the first day of resumption of trading, falling a full 53 points in one day. So much.
But Ye Qiu still knows his priorities clearly. For him, trading in the U.S. stock market is just a part-time job. His main job is coaching Ajax. This is what he should really care about, so he puts his focus on the stock market. All the buying and selling transactions were left to Eliza, while he devoted himself wholeheartedly to the Eredivisie.
On September 15th, Eindhoven was upset again in the away game, losing to Breda 0:2. This undoubtedly surprised the entire Netherlands, because Gretz's team had a very unsatisfactory start in the league and only played 5 rounds. , but have already lost two games, and Ruud van Nistelrooy's departure has indeed led to the weakening of PSV's offensive line.
The twin tower combination of Hesselinck and Brookink looks beautiful, but in fact it has many shortcomings. As long as it is slightly restricted and utilized, it is still unknown how much effect this pair of twin towers can produce, and Cole on the left Ka's departure from the team and Kežman's average performance after being moved to the wing are all tests for Gretz.
In another game played at the same time as Eindhoven, Van Marwijk's Feyenoord successfully defeated Graf Sharp 2:0, while Ajax's game was a little later. In order to prepare, Ye Qiu In the first group match of the European Champions League in midweek, they played against Alkmaar with half the main lineup. As a result, the team performed almost average throughout the game and was inseparable from Alkmaar.
In the second half, seeing that the situation was not favorable for his team, Ye Qiu decisively replaced Van der Vaart and Sneijder. As a result, the latter's pass assisted Van der Vaart to dribble inside from the right and break into the penalty area. He dribbled past two players and scored a goal, scoring the only goal of the game for Ajax.
After this battle, Ajax continued to lead the Eredivisie standings!
On September 18, Ajax welcomed the opponent of the first match of the European Champions League group stage, Barcelona, at the Arena Stadium!
The two teams in the UEFA Cup final last season met in the first match of the Champions League group stage, which undoubtedly attracted a lot of media attention, especially this season Ajax's European war started quite amazingly, directly defeating Bayern Munich at the Louis II Stadium in Monaco, which can be said to be a head start.
On the other hand, Barcelona encountered Krakow of Poland in the third round of the Champions League qualifiers, but the performance of the La Liga giants could not be said to be outstanding. They won 4:3 away and 1:0 at home. Both games were thrilling. Rexach's team was never convincing.
The same is true in La Liga. Unlike Ajax's winning streak in the Eredivisie, Barcelona suffered an embarrassing record of 1 win and 2 draws in the first three rounds of La Liga. Compared with the slogan of winning the championship before the season, Rexach's performance is a bit embarrassing.
But it is precisely because of this that Rexach vowed to defeat Ajax after leading the team to Amsterdam, making a good start for this season's Champions League. Compared with last year's inability to resist Ajax's attack, Barcelona's strength in recruiting players in the midfield and backcourt this season is not small.
First, in order to improve the height of the team's defense, Barcelona introduced Swedish central defender Patrick Anderson from Bayern Munich. He is the central defender who made Schalke 04 miss the championship with a goal in the last round of the Bundesliga, and is also Ibrahimovic's teammate in the national team.
At the same time, they also introduced Christian Val from Monaco, France. Both central defenders are players with height and confrontation.
Because many people were not satisfied with the two full-back combination of Sergi and Petit last season, the 30-year-old Sergi was put into the cold palace by Rexach, replaced by the second team young player Puyol, Petit went to Chelsea in the Premier League, and on the left, Barcelona introduced Italian international Coco from AC Milan.
In order to strengthen the thickness and strength of the midfield, Barcelona introduced midfielder Rosenberg from Internacional, and Saviola was introduced on the front line, preparing to use Saviola plus Kluivert and Rivaldo to reorganize the team's offensive trident.
In order to highlight the importance of this game, Barcelona President Gaspart personally led the team to Amsterdam, hoping to inspire the team's fighting spirit and morale and help Barcelona get out of the current predicament.
As a player respected by both Ajax and Barcelona fans, Cruyff also returned to Amsterdam in order to watch the game in person. He also commented on the upcoming game in his column, and he believed that the chances of both sides winning were 50-50.
"Ajax's overall tactical framework has stabilized. Ye Qiu spent a year to build Ajax's overall tactical situation, and proved the advancement and feasibility of his tactical system with results. I believe that Ajax will continue to move forward along this path, and the overall combat effectiveness will become stronger and stronger."
"Relatively speaking, Barcelona's players are more outstanding, and almost all of them are world-famous stars, but after the summer reorganization, Rexach's team encountered troubles. It is unknown how much strength they can exert at the Arena Stadium."
"But Barcelona has an advantage. They have played two rounds of the Champions League qualifiers, but Ye Qiu and most of the players in his team are appearing on the Champions League stage for the first time. This will undoubtedly have some adverse effects on the game. The key lies in how the head coaches of both sides resolve it!"
"It can be foreseen that both sides are very clear about the importance of this game. , so this will not be a wonderful game, because both sides are under great pressure. For Barcelona, the most important thing is how to avoid over-reliance on a certain star and how to better integrate personal abilities into the whole, so that there is a chance to defeat Ajax, which has a strong overall strength. "
"For Ajax, Ye Qiu and his team have become more and more outstanding and impeccable. The key lies in their experience, their performance in the game and their tolerance for pressure. These are their weaknesses! "
"In short, Barcelona has many unfavorable factors when playing away, and many people are not optimistic about them, but it is not easy for Ajax to win. They need to work harder!"
"Cruyff's pre-match comments are more like a win-win situation. This is no wonder, because he is both a symbol of Ajax and a national treasure of Barcelona. Such comments are just not to offend both sides, and his analysis is not unreasonable.
Ye Qiu said at the pre-match press conference that he and his team came to the European Champions Cup for the first time, and he and his team came with a learning mentality, but he would not give up his football belief, which is to win every game.
"There is no doubt that this game will be difficult because we are facing Barcelona, but I am still confident that I can lead the team to defeat our opponents!"
Barcelona's head coach Rexach vowed, "We will rediscover the team's winning rhythm at the Arena Stadium, because there is no more suitable opponent than Ajax. We have to defeat this team." A team that made us suffer last season and say goodbye to our past humiliation!"
