Chapter 536 The Butterfly Effect of History

After attending the memorial service for Deng Jiaxian, Liu Tao returned to the courtyard.

Liu Tao went to his study.

He picked up a notebook and flipped through it.

This notebook is very special. There are a lot of words on it, neither traditional Chinese nor simplified Chinese.

It is estimated that only Liu Tao can understand it.

This is to avoid forgetting, while his memory is clear, he wrote it down.

He would flip through it from time to time to make plans.

For example, the previous "Plaza Accord" was remembered by reading this notebook.

"It seems that some things have changed, and history has changed." Liu Tao read the notebook and looked thoughtful.

According to history, in the Iran-Iraq War, Iraq not only had an advantage at the beginning, but was soon forced to withdraw from Persia, and Persia spread the war to Iraq.

Then the two sides launched a ship attack war in the Persian Gulf, forcing Kuwait, Saudi Arabia and other countries to invite the United States, the Soviet Union, Britain, France, China and other countries to escort in the Persian Gulf to ensure the safety of oil transportation.

As for the two sides of the ship attack war, Persia wanted to use this to attack Iraq and make Iraq lose its income from exporting oil; Iraq wanted to raise oil prices through this move in addition to retaliating, thereby increasing its oil revenue.

At that time, in order to target the Soviet Union, the United States joined forces with other major oil-producing countries in the world to increase oil production and suppress oil prices, causing oil prices to fall to between 10 and 20 US dollars, which caused Iraq to lose a lot of oil revenue. Without a lot of oil revenue, Iraq could not feel it.

But now, international oil is still at a high level of more than 35 US dollars per barrel, and there have been many times when oil has exceeded 40 US dollars per barrel or even 50 US dollars per barrel.

This has made Iraq and Iran make a lot of money by exporting oil, and they can continue the war.

After all, the United States consumes a lot of oil every year, and the strategic reserve oil released before has to be replenished in the past few years. Other major oil-producing countries are also unwilling to sacrifice their own interests and pay for the United States. They have advanced weapons in their hands and their backs are also much stronger.

In addition to revenge, one of the important reasons for the United States to attack Libya before was to control Libya and Libya's oil, and to establish its prestige so that the major oil-producing countries would obey the United States.

Unfortunately, Libya was indeed hit hard, but the United States also suffered great losses, and under the targeting of the Soviet Union, it failed to eliminate Gaddafi and control Libya.

Naturally, the price of oil could not be suppressed.

Although Persia was sanctioned by the United States and could not directly export oil, the United States and Europe were Persia's largest oil importers in the past. However, there is no shortage of middlemen in the world. There are mercenaries and other organizations that act as middlemen. With the cooperation of both parties, Persia can continue to export oil, and the middlemen can earn intermediary fees.

Persia can export more than 3 million barrels of oil per day. Even with middlemen, the income from exporting oil in one day exceeds 75 million US dollars, and the annual oil income exceeds 27 billion US dollars.

In addition, the United States was worried that Persia would turn to the Soviet Union, and did not want to see Iraq become bigger and gain hegemony in the Gulf, so it continued to secretly loosen Persia. The sky over the Iran-Iraq battlefield was not only filled with F-14 "Panda" fighters, but also seemed to have suddenly returned to the highest level at the beginning of the Iran-Iraq War. There were also F-15 fighters and F-16 fighters, which once again had air superiority over the Iran-Iraq battlefield.

Of course, because Iraq had the "Aegis" air defense missile system, Persian fighters did not continue to attack Baghdad as they did in the early stages of the Iran-Iraq War, and even rarely entered Iraqi airspace.

At present, neither side has launched a ship-raiding war, and there is no sign of the end of the Iran-Iraq War.

"And the Soviet Chernobyl Nuclear Power Plant, it didn't happen!" Liu Tao sighed secretly, history has changed a lot.

If you want to talk about the most influential thing in the world in 1986, I'm afraid that anyone who knows about it will say the Chernobyl Nuclear Power Plant incident, which is destined to be recorded in the annals of world history.

The use of nuclear energy is not only to manufacture nuclear weapons, but also to benefit mankind, and nuclear power plants are a model of using nuclear energy to benefit mankind.

In 1954, the Soviet Union built the world's first nuclear power plant, the Aubrunsko Nuclear Power Plant, which opened the prelude to human use of nuclear energy. Soon after, the United States built its first nuclear power plant in 1957.

By 1960, the Soviet Union, the United States, Britain, and France had built 10 nuclear power plants with a total power of 860,000 kilowatts.

From 1954 to 1965 was the nuclear power plant verification and demonstration stage. The first generation of nuclear power plants were successively built in powerful countries such as the United States and the Soviet Union. During this period, a total of 38 units were put into operation worldwide.

From 1966 to 1980, nuclear power plants developed rapidly. The second-generation nuclear power plants, which were more economical and safer, became an important source of energy in the industrialization process of Europe and the United States. In particular, after the economic feasibility of light water reactor nuclear power in the United States was verified, a climax of nuclear power plant construction was formed. During this period, a total of 242 nuclear power units were put into operation worldwide, and West Germany, Japan, Brazil and other countries also joined the ranks of developing nuclear power.

Since 1981, it has entered a stage of slow development, because the slowdown in developed countries has led to a decline in demand.

Of course, there is another influence here, that is, the Three Mile Island nuclear accident in the United States in 1979, which increased public resistance to nuclear power plants.

The so-called Three Mile Island nuclear accident in the United States was at 4 a.m. on March 28, 1939. In the operating room of the second reactor of the Three Mile Island Nuclear Power Plant in Pennsylvania, the United States, red lights flashed, whistles sounded, turbines stopped, and the core pressure and temperature rose suddenly. Two hours later, a large amount of radioactive material overflowed. From the initial negligence of the staff who cleaned the equipment to the complete destruction of the reactor, the whole process took only 120 seconds. Six days later, the core temperature began to drop, the steam bubbles disappeared, and the threat of hydrogen explosion was eliminated. Although the 100 tons of uranium fuel did not melt, 60% of the uranium rods were damaged, and the reactor was eventually paralyzed.

After the accident, the whole United States was shocked, and residents near the nuclear power plant were terrified. About 200,000 people evacuated the area. People in major cities in the United States and residents in areas where nuclear power plants are being built held rallies and demonstrations, demanding the suspension or closure of nuclear power plants.

Of course, the Three Mile Island nuclear power plant accident in the United States is a little brother compared to the Chernobyl nuclear power plant accident in the Soviet Union.

The Three Mile Island nuclear power plant accident in the United States was level five, while the Chernobyl nuclear power plant accident in the Soviet Union was the highest level, level seven.

The Soviet Union's Chernobyl nuclear power plant accident, including inflation, caused a loss of $200 billion, which can be said to be the most costly disaster in modern history.

The Chernobyl nuclear accident is known as the most serious nuclear power accident in history, and the city of Pripyat was abandoned as a result.

The radiation hazards were vividly demonstrated, resulting in 31 deaths in the first three months after the accident, 60,000 to 80,000 deaths in the next 15 years, 134,000 people suffering from various degrees of radiation diseases, and more than 115,000 people in a radius of 30 kilometers were forced to evacuate.

In the original time and space, many people believed that the Chernobyl nuclear accident was one of the important reasons for the change in the situation under the Soviet-US offensive and defensive situation, and one of the important reasons for the disintegration of the Soviet Union.