Chapter 541: Guess and Push

Judging from the current situation, the Japanese fleet is least afraid of decisive battles at sea! The firepower of the last four quasi-fearless ships is the footnote of the decisive battle. 13 or 14 battleships fought 8 battleships from a long distance. As long as it can be caught, it is almost impossible to lose! It's impossible for the Japanese not to consider such a risky and easy-to-operate battle!

Therefore, Ruprecht judged that if the Japanese were to launch a surprise attack on the Russian fleet, they would choose to launch an attack during the Russian fleet's journey to the Far East. It is hard to say whether it is in the South China Sea, the East China Sea or other places. As long as Japan can severely damage Russia's Baltic Fleet from afar, the overall situation of the sea is almost settled, as long as Vladivostok is optimistic.

Then the way to start the war is determined, and the other thing that needs to be determined is the question of time. When will Japan choose to start the war? Judging from the current situation, the last two battleships ordered by the Japanese Navy will return to Japan in March next year. After arriving in Japan, after a period of rest and adjustment, they will become combat effective in June. In other words, if viewed from the perspective of Japan alone, they can launch an offensive in June.

The prince then considered a situation. If the Japanese army moved first, landed on the Liaodong Peninsula under the cover of the navy, and then took the Port of Lushun in a relatively short period of time, even if the Baltic Fleet came over, it could only go to Vladivostok. Vladivostok has a freezing period, and the Russian fleet cannot leave the port in winter. The advantage of this is that even if the Japanese navy does not intercept the opponent, Japanese maritime transport is safe before the end of the freezing period in Vladivostok in 1904. But the problem is that doing so is also tantamount to giving the Russians a chance to breathe.

The 8 battleships of the Baltic Fleet plus the 4 battleships of the Shanghai Canwei, this is 12. If it drags for a long time, what about the Americans to provide Russia with a few more battleships in 1904? In the case of equal strength, the odds of winning the battle between the Japanese fleet and the Russian fleet are half-to-half, and Russia can withstand the defeat of the fleet. But Japan cannot afford it.

From a strategic point of view, at the beginning of the game, the Russian fleet was divided into three parts. The Japanese fleet was gathered together and had the strategic initiative. If the second style of play was chosen, the Russian fleet would be strengthened to be equal to the Japanese fleet. Degree, then the two sides are tied. Japan is tantamount to losing its strategic advantage invisibly. The record of defeating Lushun cannot smooth out the loss of the initiative, because the navy's key lies in the fleet's operations at sea. The loss of a base is not too fatal.

If you consider the army again, the cost of doing so will be even greater. Although Russia is fighting thousands of miles away, Japan is obviously not as good as Russia in terms of resilience. They do not want to prolong the war. If the Russian fleet always exists, then Russia has a chance of victory, and Nicholas II will fight firmly.

In fact, on another plane, even if Russia failed in the Battle of Fengtian, after pushing to the Tieling line, the main force of the Russian troops was still there, and there was a steady stream of troops transferred from Europe. Although Russia fell into the aftermath of the defeat In the political crisis and national conflicts, but the foundation is still there, this is also the reason why Earl Witt was tough enough to face the Japanese! You won’t lose a penny for your money. If you disagree, just keep playing!

If the war drags on for a longer period of time, Japan, which is weak in energy and blood, will probably switch from offensive to defensive, and then consume a lot of money and manpower in the trench confrontation. This is definitely not the result that Japan is willing to see, so he must clean up all hopes of comeback in Russia in the shortest possible time!

After some consideration, Ruprecht began to write a reply to the Kaiser: "After June next year, Japan will complete the final preparations for war. They may launch a war at any time, and the army will enter North Korea in large numbers and will stock up. A large amount of ammunition and supplies. Under such circumstances, the Russians will soon smell the coming of war. So the Baltic Fleet led by Vice Admiral Makanov will immediately go to the Far East."

"And this voyage is destined to have some warships unable to reach their destinations. They are not welcomed by friendly forces, but by the ruthless artillery of the Japanese fleet! When Japan will launch a war against Russia, it depends entirely on when the Russian fleet will arrive. Far East. The first artillery of the Russo-Japanese War will be fired at sea, possibly in the South China Sea, in the Taiwan Strait, or in the East China Sea!"

"Does the Russian fleet have a chance to avoid this catastrophe?" The Kaiser's reply to the prince was very simple.

"It's difficult, unless the Russians choose to go to the Atlantic Ocean, then bypass South America into the Pacific Ocean, and then follow the Pacific Ocean into Vladivostok. And this is only a possibility, even if the Japanese cannot find the traces of the Russian fleet by reconnaissance in the Pacific. , You can still wait for the arrival of the Russian fleet outside the port of Vladivostok. The final result is nothing more than making the whole process a little more troublesome. The Japanese fleet may face a flanking attack, but the Russians still have a low chance of winning.” The prince’s reply was simple ~www.wuxiaspot.com~ Let us pray to Nicky (William II’s name to Nicholas II.), and wish his poor fleet can escape the fate of ruin under the guidance of God’s glory. "Looking at William II's reply, the prince can hardly imagine what kind of mood William II was when he said this. Is he gloating, or really hopes that the Russian fleet will successfully merge? Maybe both? Anyway? Without conflict, William II hopes that this war will last as long as possible!

"May God bless General Makanov." His Royal Highness also gave the William II Church a message with a funny spirit. "If we can, we can actually remind the Russians and Americans, do you think it is necessary?"

"Do what you think is right, don't worry about other consequences, don't worry about other people's interference." William II's reply is very simple.

"Let Count Schelling arrange and let him tell Lieutenant General Essen that I can meet him at any time." The prince closed the document in his hand and said. "Makanov, I have done my best to help you and find you a chance. Although your fleet may still suffer heavy losses, at least you can run away. Don't let my expectations and efforts be disappointed. "His Royal Highness was moved by his own international spirit...

Thanks to the book friend Lan for soaking in the hot springs, swimming slowly, having the edge of the sea, and the king of fat cattle~~~! And the half immortal in the drowsy book friend, with the wind? ? ? ? ? ? , Who is the support of your 968, fanck, and Shonen Shuang~~~! Seeking subscription~~~!