Chapter 2558 Elbo

The next step was more casual. Boss Ma was very curious about this entrepreneurial project and asked: "By the way, the name of this project is Elbo. What does Elbo mean?"

Sinofsky explains this simply.

Elbo is a term in probability, called the evidence lower bound.

“Evidence” here is also a term that refers to the probability density of data or observable variables.

When designing, success or failure is actually a probability. Whether it can succeed depends on the expected value of the product. The higher the expected value, the higher the probability of success.

Elbo is probably a conditional probability based on Bayesian reasoning.

The general meaning is that when users use the Elbo platform to design products, they can rely on technological factors such as artificial intelligence and big data analysis to determine the probability and expectations of success after the product is developed.

For example, after a product is designed, will it be successful in the market? The platform will conduct a comprehensive analysis of factors such as industry competition, investment costs, product positioning, and target user groups, and give a probability of big data analysis.

This thing is actually of little use.

But it will be fun.

It will also be quite motivating.

Zhou Buqi didn't understand this advanced mathematical concept at all, but he could draw parallels and agreed: "Well, this idea is quite good. It's like football. Every year in the World Cup, European Cup, or the five major leagues, supercomputers will pass The model processes a series of data and then gives a prediction as to who will be the champion and runner-up in this year’s competition.”

Sinofsky smiled and said: "Yes, there are also American football leagues and basketball leagues."

Zhou Buqi nodded, "The practical significance of this thing is actually not great. Whether it is sports or entrepreneurship, there is great chance. These chances in reality are difficult to simulate through computers. However, this kind of probability analysis The meaning of existence is mainly to face the market and audience.”

Just like football.

If you want to have better business performance, you must have extensive reports and the attention of the majority of fans. But what to report? This kind of big data analysis before the game is a topic.

This kind of argument is indispensable in every World Cup.

For entrepreneurial projects, they are often boring and lack a practical publicity angle. If their product has an 80% success probability on the Elbo platform and has a certain gimmick, maybe they can apply for financing with such a beautiful probability value.

Sinofsky smiled and said: "Yes, as you said, this entrepreneurial project must make good use of the advantages of cloud computing, artificial intelligence and big data analysis that Ziweixing International can provide. Elbo is a product An online design platform. It can also provide such a big data analysis service to calculate the probability of success of their products after they are launched on the market."

Zhou Buqi agrees: "The future is the era of data and artificial intelligence. With Ziweiyun's powerful computing power behind Elbo, it is necessary to provide some services in probability analysis."

…

That's an hour before and after.

Zhou Buqi and Boss Ma left.

Go out and get in the car.

Boss Ma shook his head and said, "This man is not your subordinate. He will not be willing to accept your orders."

Zhou Buqi said: "Yeah, I thought I would let him join PayPal's board of directors and use his influence and popularity in the IT industry to control the situation. He actually backed down."

Boss Ma laughed and said, "I asked you to invite Bill Gates."

Zhou Buqi hummed: "Look at him, he didn't even introduce us to the entrepreneurial team. He really treats us as guests... You are the guest, but I am the host! I have more shares in Elbo than he does. !”

Boss Ma said: "He just regards you as an investor. So hiring requires a university degree. If it is a big company like Ziweixing, if you ask him to come over and be the president or vice president, he will definitely do your bidding. From. But if it is a start-up company, it is impossible to control an IT leader of this level."

Zhou Buqi sighed, "The main thing is that we are still outsiders, and we really don't know many people in the United States. The online design platform is a brand new category, and it is a B-side business. It needs an influential figure in the industry. Just lead.”

Boss Ma smiled and said, "It's good to be an investment project. You don't have to worry about it anymore, just be an investor."

Zhou Buqi said angrily: "There are many good investment projects. I want to be an investor. There are a lot of excellent and good projects waiting for me to invest. Why should I bother to find him to cooperate? I came up with this project. Yes, I roped him in."

Boss Ma frowned slightly, "If that's the case, he's going a little too far."

Zhou Buqi asked: "What good idea do you have?"

"What's the meaning?"

"Seize power!"

"As for it?"

Boss Ma laughed dumbly.

Zhou Buqi snorted: "It's fine if this entrepreneurial project fails. If it succeeds, it must be taken over. My entrepreneurial project excludes me. What's the point? Aren't you good at this kind of conspiracy? , do you have any good ideas?"

Boss Ma said angrily: "I'm not good at it."

Zhou Buqi said: "Stop pretending! I don't know you yet?"

Boss Ma was silent for a moment and then asked: "What do you think? Is it to seize power later or now?"

Zhou Buqi said with a smile: "This is nonsense. Of course it will be in the future. We will talk about it after it succeeds. If the project fails, what do I need it for? I can't take it away in the short term. I still count on him to work." This project is about to get started.”

"Yes." Boss Ma nodded, thought for a moment, and suddenly said with a smile, "I remembered something, which is quite interesting. There was a leader who once went to Alibaba for research several years ago. Go to the company When I went to work, he asked me about Alibaba’s employment philosophy, and I talked about it from several aspects such as business capabilities, strategic thinking, decision-making, management logic and values. I went to socialize in the evening and drank some wine, and he also explained it to me. His employment philosophy.”

Zhou Buqi asked: "What?"

Boss Ma said: "He is talking about women's philosophy."

"What?" Zhou Buqi was puzzled, "What kind of philosophy about women?"

Boss Ma said: "There are four main things. First, if you don't want a woman, you can't use it because he lacks ideas and motivation; second, if you meet a beautiful woman and have no ideas, you can't use it, because he just tells lies and clichés; third, when you are with a woman, you can't use it. The one who stays together while pregnant cannot be used because he has no energy and passion; fourth, the one who carries his wife for the rest of his life cannot be used because he does not understand development and innovation."

Zhou Buqi smiled and said, "Let's make some dirty jokes."

Boss Ma glanced at him and said, "It depends on how you understand it."

"How do you understand that?"

"It depends on your purpose of hiring people. If you are aiming for the company's long-term development and long-term profitability, then of course you have to be like me when selecting people, choosing those with strong business capabilities, strategic thinking, and decision-making skills. Strength, values ​​and beliefs of the company are consistent. If your purpose is to control power, what they say makes sense."

"Um."

Zhou Buqi nodded. He had had many similar thoughts. After all, reading "Zi Zhi Tong Jian" was not for nothing.

In ancient times, emperors liked to re-employ corrupt officials, even treacherous ministers and cruel officials. As for those honest and good officials who serve the people wholeheartedly and serve the world well, it is difficult for them to be in high positions. Some people who are in high positions do not end well, and they always die inexplicably.

Because the starting point is different.

The emperor's purpose is not to make the people live a better life. The propaganda of loving the people like a son is just a fooling of the common people. The emperor's goal is to stabilize the imperial power. Corrupt officials thrive under the shadow of the imperial power. They are the group of people who support the imperial power the most.

The unscrupulous "exploitation theory" was even put forward.

We just cannot make the people rich, and we must do everything possible to exploit them and keep them between the food and clothing line. When the people put all their thoughts on survival, they have no more energy to think about rebellion, and the court can better serve the herdsmen and enslave them.

Now that we have entered modern society, Zhou Buqi certainly cannot do that, but similar strategies for gaining power are common to ancient and modern times.

Boss Ma said: "One advantage of this women's philosophy of employment is that you can use women as an entry point to get their leverage. You can use them when needed; if they don't obey orders, you will have a reason to kick them. open."

Zhou Buqi narrowed his eyes, thinking slowly and said, "So I'm going to plant a few cronies in Elbo, and then secretly collect information about Sinofsky's entrepreneurial process."

This thing is all too familiar.

Carl Icahn used it!

He had been interested in PayPal in 2009, but eBay refused to cooperate, so he collected dirty information about Scott Thompson, the CEO of PayPal at the time.

Later, Thompson switched to Yahoo and became CEO, which gave him even more opportunities.

In the struggle for power at Yahoo, he wanted to reveal the dark material that Thompson had falsified his academic qualifications. This was a serious stain on workplace ethics.

Once the black material is revealed, Scott Thompson's career will be ruined and he will inevitably resign from Yahoo.

Yahoo will create chaos and profit from the chaos.

Fortunately, Zhou Buqi took action in time to mediate.

Then Ziweixing International acquired Yahoo.

prevented this tragedy from happening.

Because of the existence of black materials, Scott Thompson, the current CEO of Yahoo, can also be regarded as half of Zhou Buqi's direct confidant.

Boss Ma smiled and said, "I don't know exactly what you mean or how to do it. You can make up your own mind. He was fired by Microsoft. I remember that a large part of the reason for the dismissal was his personality. The reason is that none of his colleagues like him very much.”

Zhou Buqi said "hmm" and said, "This person is too self-centered. Other Microsoft business units want to cooperate with his Windows business unit, but he generally ignores them."

Boss Ma said: "Then you have to be careful. Don't wait until he completes the Elbo project and then ignores you. Fortunately, even in the process of starting a business, it is inevitable that there will be some unclean hands and feet. It’s no exception.”